QUESTIONS OF METHODOLOGY
An important factor in the comparative analysis of regional value indicators is the consideration of subnational differences in prices. To obtain correct indicators suitable for such analysis, the technique of spatial deflation on the basis of difference in the purchasing power of the national currency between regions can be applied. This technique is widely used in international comparisons, but currently many countries with the support of international organizations use it for subnational calculations. This raises a number of significant methodological and practical issues.
he article discusses possible approaches to solution of some related problems. The authors describe the inter-territorial differentiation of the purchasing power of the national currency as an important feature of the national market; examine the international and Russian experience in assessing the subnational differentiation of the purchasing power of the national currency, consider the methodology for calculating the purchasing power parities (PPPs) of the national currency at the subnational level, the partnership between Rosstat and the scientific community for adjusting for analytical purposes the regional value indicators on the basis of subnational PPPs.
The paper also informs about the beginning of work at the National Research University Higher school of Economics on the assessment of the impact of spatial differences in prices on the value indicators of regional development, in particular - on the indicators of income inequality. It is noted that the calculations will be carried out using the official data on prices published by Rosstat and in general cooperation with official statistics. In light of the forthcoming adjustment of the value indicators of the development of the Russian regions with account to PPPs, the authors using concrete examples sum up the need for careful study of the relevant international experience, but also to take into account the Russian specifics, requests from Russian users of statistical data and features of existing information sources.
STATISTICAL METHODS IN MACROECONOMIC RESEARCH
This paper presents the results of measuring intersectoral economic and technological effects, allowing to determine the degree of dependence between the segments that produce digital technologies and implement them. The basis for empirical calculations was the survey data of leaders among Russian IT companies and retail organizations on the current state of digital and business activity.
The purpose of the work is to identify the presence and establish the strength of the relationship between these segments in terms of existing localized industry effects, expressed in the transfer of technology from the IT segment to retail. The authors of the work identified and tested several specific hypotheses, the general meaning of which was to suggest that retail trade in the current stage of economic development in Russia is susceptible to emerging trends in the rapidly changing IT services sector that can quickly and efficiently respond to the growth of the IT companies digital activity by increasing investments in digital technologies and increasing the intensity of their application in business processes.
In particular, hypotheses were tested regarding the impact of business activity in the IT services segment on the growth of electronic commerce turnover, the use of online marketplaces, Big Data technologies, virtual and augmented reality technologies in retail trade organizations, as well as hypotheses suggesting a connection between the development of mobile applications in the IT segment and the use of mobile technologies, expectations regarding the growth of electronic goods turnover in retail organizations.
The obtained results confirmed the majority of the hypotheses put forward, thereby supporting the authors’ general assumption about the existence of specific effects of the development of the IT segment on intersectoral technological transfers, revealed the existing specifics of penetration and spread of modern technological trends in trade, and also showed that the IT is currently important component in the process of digital transformation of Russian retail trade organizations.
SOCIAL STATISTICS
Ensuring the equal employment opportunities for persons with disabilities is one of the priorities of public support for people with disabilities in Russia. This determines the need for detailed, reliable and timely statistics on the position of persons with disabilities in the labor market. The authors analyzed the content and quality of statistics collected in this area, considering, in particular, the recent methodological, organizational and statistical innovations - inclusion of the questions about disability status in the key population surveys and creation of the Federal Register of Disabled Persons (FRD).
The article notes that to date, estimates of the employment rate of persons with disabilities on the basis of administrative data and labor force survey differ, which justifies the need for an additional analysis of the methodology of these indicators. Thus, data of the FRD contains information about all people with disability status in Russia, but information on their employment covers mostly employment in the formal sector. While the population survey data, according to the authors, on the contrary, make it possible to take into account allforms of employ¬ment, but face the problem of underestimating of people with disabilities due to the design of the questions used, the reluctance of individuals to declare disability, and due to the fact that some groups of people with disabilities are less likely to be respondents of the surveys. In addition, the administrative data and the labor force survey data differ in the length of the reference period and methodology of calculation of annual indicators.
According to the authors analysis, administrative data reflects the number of employed persons with disabilities more objectively, while for detailed characteristics of disabled people position in the labor market population survey data may be used.
Low level of physical activity among working people is a common problem in many countries including Russia. Despite the increase in recent years in the share of people who are physically active, the level of physical inactivity of Russian workers is still significant, which reduces the effectiveness of resources aimed at improving the health of the Russian population.
Studying the changes in the level of physical activity of the working Russian citizens and reviewing its most common types, the authors determine the factors encouraging physical activities and sports. The article identifies the distinguishing features of physical activity among Russian workers, the analysis of the determinants of physical activity, and factors putting obstacles in the way of sport participation.
A comprehensive analysis of correlates of physical activity was conducted based on public opinion surveys commissioned by the HSE and carried out by Levada Analytical Center in 2011 and 2017 years. The sample includes employed respondents, both males and females (females aged 25 to 55years and males aged 25 to 60years).
The analysis revealed the relation between working women and men’s physical activity and their individual and household characteristics, such as: gender, age, body mass index, health self-perception, nutrition, unhealthy lifestyle habits (smoking and alcohol), level of education, per capita income, as well as external attributes (presence of sporting facilities in the immediate vicinity of their home or workplace). At the same time, the analysis did not reveal one-to-one dependence between the probability of being physically active and a number of working hours per week, family status, number of children, place of residence and the availability of sport infrastructure.
In conclusion, the study of factors that can have both a stimulating and a restraining effect on the physical activity of the working population will help optimize the financing of national health and sports systems.
IN THE COURSE OF DISCUSSION
The article addressed some methodological issues of National Transfer Accounts (NTA) in detail and reviewed the idea of further extension (in terms of wealth accounting) on aggregate - economy-wide-level. NTA as one of the types of satellite accounts are explored. They are constructed on alternative concept relative to System of National Accounts (SNA). The article focuses in-depth on methodological features and logical approaches to compiling some indicators.
It further explored the wealth content in the system of NTA, its dual nature (accrued real wealth and transfer wealth), and consequent measuring specifics. Considering international research (US practice), the author discussed established methodological approaches to compiling aggregate wealth accounts and analyzing consumption support in the form of private transfers. Based on Russian national account statistics and aggregate transfer economic account of economic lifecycle compiled for Russia, the article highlighted interconnections between the NTA and the SNA in terms of usage of resources saved in economy to accumulate both non-financial and financial assets. The author pointed out that balance sheet in SNA function as a macro benchmark for measuring total wealth of economy in NTA.
Analysis of age structure indicate rapid population aging in Russia over the last decade. The State has been playing an increasing role in financing the economic lifecycle deficit. The question arises: how will this affect private savings? Does the growing social support from the state contain the growth of private savings, partially «replacing» them or not?
The information presented in the article, will be useful to readers with an interest in demographic studies and socio-economics.
INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Following the line of research, originated from the paper by Henderson et al. (2012), this article focuses on how “observations from the above", in the form of night-lights satellite data, might contribute in mapping at very fine geographical level (ideally, one square km), two core macroeconomic indicators used extensively in the Sustainable Development Goals monitoring and reporting framework: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Purchasing Power Parities (PPPs). Recent empirical economic studies have paid increasing attention on the association between night-lights observations and economic growth, in order to estimate a consistent and objective level of economic activities at subnational level.
In the present paper, analyses are carried out on a panel of 17 Eastern Europe and CIS countries for the period 2000-2013 and use is made of indicators constructed from satellite images in the form of night lights, as processed by the US Department of Defense, and its Defense Meteorological Satellite Program’s OperationalLinescan System. Estimations of GDP in current US dollars and PPP terms are carried out at both national and sub-national level, and results are compared with the official available information. Estimates of GDP and PPP were also compared, at national level, with those in the World Bank data-set, showing similar behaviours. Results are used to obtain gridded maps of GDPs and PPPs.
CHRONICLES OF THE JOURNAL
ISSN 2658-5499 (Online)