On Models of Funding the Lifecycle Deficit
https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2020-27-5-23-35
Abstract
The article elaborates on the macro-analysis as related to the aggregated National Transfer Accounts (NTA), the topic originated in the prior publications in Voprosy Statistiki journal (Issues 4 and 11 of 2019), and builds upon the research conducted by HSE National Research University in 2020 as part of Russia’s participation in the global National Transfer Accounts project. The author explored various models of funding the economic life cycle deficit (various support system), adopted by separate groups of economies, through the lens of population savings in these countries. The article was profoundly examined how “excessive” household consumption is supported by public transfers and the correlation between the scale of such transfers and the household sector’s appetite for savings. By taking this research angle, the author aimed to develop deeper understanding of the underlying forces that drive savings into investments within the household sector. The author summarized key parameters of aggregated NTA for Russia in 2017–2019 to produce early quantitative assessments of the deficit funding structure. A closer look into relations between the funding models and incomes saved by population allowed to make cross-country comparisons and map Russia in global environment. The article discussions will be useful to the readers with an interest in demographic studies and socio-economics.
Keywords
About the Author
A. G. NazarovaRussian Federation
Anzhela G. Nazarova - Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Leading Expert
4, Slavyanskaya Sq., Bldg. 2, Moscow, 109074
References
1. Mirer T.W. The Dissaving Behavior of the Retired Aged. Southern Economic Journal. 1980;46(4):1197-1205. Available from: doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/1057254.
2. Lee R., Mason A. Some Macroeconomic Aspects of Global Population Aging. Demography. 2010;47(suppl.): S151-S172. Available from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/40983118.
3. Mason A., Lee R. Transfers, Capital, and Consumption over the Demographic Transition. NTA Working Paper WP-06-01 (2006). 35 p. Available from: https://ntaccounts.org/doc/repository/ML2006a.pdf.
4. Nazarova A.G., Chernyavsky A.V. Aggregate Transfer Accounts for the Russian Federation: Framework for Construction and Analysis. Voprosy Statistiki. 2019; 26(4):32-44. (In Russ.) Available from: doi: https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2019-26-4-32-44.
5. UN Department of Economic and Social Aff airs. National Transfers Accounts Manual: Measuring and Analysing the Generational Economy. New York: United Nations; 2013. 226 p. Available from: https://www.un.org/en/development/desa/publications/measuring-and-analysing-thegenerational-economy.html.
6. Lee R. Intergenerational Transfers, the Biological Life Cycle, and Human Society // Population and Development Review. 2012;38(suppl.):23-35. Available from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/23655284.
7. Nazarova A.G. On Extension of Aggregate National Transfer Accounts. Voprosy Statistiki. 2019;26(11):57-67. (In Russ.) Available from: doi: https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2019-26-11-57-67.
8. European Commission, IMF, OECD, UN, World Bank. System of National Accounts 2008. New York; 2009. (Russ. ed. Sistema Natsional’nykh Schetov 2008. New York; 2012) Available from: https://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/docs/SNA2008Russian.pdf.
9. Rosero-Bixby L. Generational Transfers and Population Aging in Latin America. Population and Development Review. 2011;37:143-157. Available from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/41762402.
10. Solé M. et al. Protecting the Elderly and Children in Times of Crisis: An Analysis Based on National Transfer Accounts. Journal of the Economics of Ageing. 2020;15:1-11. Available from: doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeoa.2019.100208.
11. Poterba J.M. Retirement Security in an Aging Population. The American Economic Review. 2014;104(5):1-30. Available from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/42920905.
12. Lee R., Lee S.-H., Mason A. Charting the Economic Life Cycle. Population and Development Review. 2008;34:208-237. Available from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/25434765.
13. Prskawetz A., Sambt J. Economic Support Ratios and the Demographic Dividend in Europe. Demographic Research. 2014;30:963-1010. Available from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/26348225.
14. Lee R., Mason A. Generational Economics in a Changing World. Population and Development Review. 2011;37:115-142. Available from: https://www.jstor.org/stable/41762401.
15. Lord W.A. Saving, Wealth, and the Exchange-Bequest Motive. The Canadian Journal of Economics / Revue Canadienne d’Economique. 1992;25(3):743-753. Available from: doi: https://doi.org/10.2307/135742.
Review
For citations:
Nazarova A.G. On Models of Funding the Lifecycle Deficit. Voprosy statistiki. 2020;27(5):23-35. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2020-27-5-23-35