STATISTICAL RESOURCES AND METHODS FOR FORECASTING WAGES OF EMPLOYEES INDICATOR

Abstract

The article is devoted to the formation of the original database and the justification of forecasting techniques for average monthly gross wages and salaries of employees at the regional level of the Russian Federation. The conceptual basis of the proposed approach in the article is a method of calculating the average monthly gross wages and salaries of employees in organizations, individual entrepreneurs and natural persons, introduced into the practice by the Federal State Statistics Service, in April 2016.

Particular attention is given to forecast evaluation of wages in the formal and informal sectors of the economy based on the aggregation of different sources of information: statistical reporting and results of the federal sample surveys. The practical significance of the proposed algorithm is in its approbation on real statistical data for the Russian Federation and the city of Moscow.