CHANGES IN THE STRUCTURE OF FOREIGN TRADE AND THE CHARACTERISTICS OF TRADE RELATIONS OF RUSSIA WITH ITS PARTNERS IN THE EAEU IN 2013-2016

This article presents the research of Russian foreign trade in 2013-2016 using several relevant analytical groupings and indicators reflecting geography and structure of exports and imports of goods, trade balance, dependence on imports, export-oriented nature of the Russian economy and also the development potential of the mutual trade with its-partners in the EAEU. For the analysis the authors used data from the Federal Customs Service, which was regrouped in accordance with the Russian Classification of Products by Economic Activities to correspond with the production statistics and combined in 40 groups of industrial and agricultural exports and imports products. Geographical dimension in the context of these types of products is presented by two groups of countries: one group - Russia and the EAEU-members (EAEU-4) broken down by each country and another group - that includes «other courtiers of the world».

The article consists of two parts. The first part contains general characteristics of the external and internal conditions, which determined the directions for changes in the Russian foreign trade in 2014-2016. It also presents the estimations and conclusions received following the analysis of changes of the Russian trade balance with the EAEU-4 group of countries and other countries of the world, by types of products, dependence of the Russian economy on imports and export-oriented nature of different economic sectors. The second part is devoted to the analysis of the Russian trade with each country of EAEU-4. The authors itemized the aspects of Russian trade with each of the EAEU-4 countries and described the complementarity of their economies. The importance of trade with each country in meeting the Russian demand for imports of different types of products and the development of Russian industries is assessed. The conclusions on the possibility of a fuller use of the integration potential of foreign trade connections between Russia and its EAEU-partners are provided.

The article contains table materials that include specific data on structural, dynamic and comparative analysis of Russian foreign trade during its adaptation to radical change in prices on the world energy market and to other external factors. These table materials can be widely used in different directions of macroeconomic research, including the estimates of integration effects within the EAEU.

1. Zoidov K.Kh., Medkov A.A. Problems and Contradictions of Socio-Economic Development of Russia with other Countries of the EAEU. Regional Problems of Transformation of the Economy. 2016:(12);236-249. (In Russ.)

2. Vinokurov E. (ed.) Eurasian Economic Union. Saint- Petersburg: EDB Centre for Integration Studies; 2017. (In Russ.)

3. Eurasian Economic Union - 2018. Year’s results and scenarios of the future. Mir peremen. Available from: http://mirperemen.net/2017/12/evrazijskij-ekonomicheskij-soyuz2018-itogi-goda-i-scenarii-budushhego/ (accessed 30.12.2017). (In Russ.)

4. Shibutov M. Future of the Eurasian Economic Union. Valdai Discussian Club. Available from: http://ru.valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/kakim-viditsya-budushchee-eaes/(accessed 19.05.2017). (In Russ.)

5. Ajtikeeva A.A., Dganibekov U.D., Ajtikeev A.A. Some Problems and Prospects of Eaurasian Economic Union (EAEU) and Integration of Enterprises of Kyrgyz Republic with EAEU Enterprises in terms of Globalization. Young Scientist. 2017:41(175);32-35. (In Russ.) Available from: https://moluch.ru/archive/175/45904/.

6. Bordachev T. What Went Wrong with Eurasian Integration and How to Fix it. Valdai Discussian Club. (In Russ.) Available from: http://ru.valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/something-wentwrong/.

7. Bordachev T. Do the EAEU Countries Need a Common Trade Policy? Valdai Discussian Club. (In Russ.) Available from: http://ru.valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/eaes-obshchayatorgovaya-politika/ (accessed 21.12. 2016).

8. Knobel A. Eurasian Economic Union: Prospects and Challenges for Development. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2015:(3);87108. (In Russ.) Available from: https://iep.ru/files/text/nauchnie_jurnali/knobel_vopreco_3-2015.pdf.

9. Knobel A., Sedalishev V. Risks and Benefits for EAEU from Various Integration Scenarios in Asia-Pacific Region. Economicheskaya Politika. 2017:12(2);72-85. (In Russ.)

10. Knobel A., Chokaev В. Possible Economic Effects of CU-EU Trade Agreement. Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2014:(2);68-87. (In Russ.)

11. Idrisov G.I., Sinelnikov-Murylev S.G. Modernization or Conservation: The Role of Export Duties on Oil and Oil Products. Economicheskaya Politika. 2012:(3);5-19. (In Russ.)

12. Idrisov G.I. Sensitivity of Russian Import of Equipment to Fluctuations of the Exchange Rate. Rossiyskiy Vneshneekonomicheskiy Vestnik. 2010:(2);48-58. (In Russ.)