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The Development of Russia's Digital Sector: Factors and Prospects
https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2025-32-5-53-63
Abstract
This article examines the prospects for the development of digital and IT entrepreneurship in Russia. It identifies key success factors and risks, and proposes recommendations to support innovation initiatives and increase the industry's contribution to the national eco nomy.
The study investigates the impact of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) on the formation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) through factor analysis. The use of this analytical approach ensures the creation of an effective predictive model, which is crucial for making informed management decisions that support and further develop the digital economy of the Russian Federation.
The study established that the contribution of ICT to GDP is dependent on the level of informatization and digitalization within organizations, the spread and use of digital and telecommunication technologies, the digital transformation, and innovative development of theeconomy and society. Based on the analysis, a forecast was developed according to which the contribution of ICT to GDP will continue to grow, albeit ata slowing pace, emphasizing the need for regular monitoring and timely responses to changes in the external environment and intra-industry factors. The results demonstrate that the primary sources of growth in the ICT sector's contribution to GDP are high levels of investment in thedigital economy and the active development of innovations.
The most critical directions for future work include improving the system of statistical data collection, refining methods for evaluating the results of state program implementation, and enhancing the transparency of funding for innovative projects.
Keywords
forecasting,
digital economy,
digital entrepreneurship,
digital maturity,
digitalization,
factor analysis,
information and communication technologies
Supporting agencies: This work was supported by the Russian Science Foundation (Project number 25-28-01396 «Digital and IT Entrepreneurship under Conditions of Partial External Isolation of the Russian Federation»).
About the Authors
M. V. Kazakovtseva
Mari State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Marina V. Kazakovtseva – Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor; Associate Professor, Department of Applied Statistics and Digital Technologies, Institute of Digital Technologies, Faculty of Economics
1, Lenin Sq., Yoshkar-Ola, 424000
Yu. M. Lapteva
Mari State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Yuliya M. Lapteva – Junior Researcher, Institute of Digital Technologies, Faculty of Economics
1, Lenin Sq., Yoshkar-Ola, 424000
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For citations:
Kazakovtseva M.V., Lapteva Yu.M. The Development of Russia's Digital Sector: Factors and Prospects. Voprosy statistiki. 2025;32(5):53-63. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2025-32-5-53-63
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