On Research of economic dynamics for forecasting purposes
https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2014-0-6-8-19
Abstract
Recovering time series of Russian economy over a long period of time, done by a number of authors in recent years, allows one to move to solving an issue of a deeper analysis of economic dynamics and comparisons of different periods from the viewpoint of a forming consistent, transformation, replacement and other development types and substantiating factors determining them. Herewith, it is important to explain the creation of the factors themselves, from other factors’ point of view, as well as taking into account the features of every development stage, cyclic waves of economic dynamics and economic policy conducted at this stage identifying the primary development sources. Methodological approaches to solving this issue are presented, along with implementation results amid the research of the dynamics of the Russian economy, with a more detailed presentation of the research results of the post-reform phase. The author’s view on transformation of the factors’ structure in development period under review is presented. The possibilities for using the proposed methodology for economic forecasting purposes and directions for development of statistics to better reflect the innovation factor are characterized.
About the Author
G. . Kuranov
Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
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Review
For citations:
Kuranov G. On Research of economic dynamics for forecasting purposes. Voprosy statistiki. 2014;(6):8-19. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2014-0-6-8-19
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