Preview

Voprosy statistiki

Advanced search

Some Aspects of Methodological Support of Bank Value Management in the Russian Market of Financial Services

https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2022-29-4-84-96

Abstract

In the introduction, the authors argue the relevance of the researched problem of improving the algorithm for estimating transaction cost of bank’s purchase and sale in the Russian financial services market. It is emphasized that the need to manage the value of a commercial enterprise arises not only when planning the purchase and sale transaction of the entire business or part of it. The valuation is taken into account, first of all, when corporatizing an organization, attracting new shareholders, insuring its property, obtaining a loan secured by property, calculating the fair value of taxes.
The first part of the paper substantiates the business valuation algorithm intended for a potential investor and adapted to the conditions of the Russian financial market. This takes into account the specific features of each bank in question. Based on the data from open financial statements (for 2017–2022), the parameters required in the procedure for obtaining estimates are calculated.
The second part of the paper presents the result of selecting indicators of the external and internal economic environment of banks that have a significant statistical relationship with the resulting valuation. The selected factors are under the control of managers and can be used to guide the proposed cost estimate. Data were obtained on the direction and strength of influence of selected factors on the value of business. The selection algorithm is based on mathematical modeling using bank data for the period under consideration.
The valuation is based on a comparative approach, where the values of the multiples are calculated using a linear regression model. To organize cost management, a panel regression model is built, which allows to select significant financial indicators and determine the nature of their impact on the bank's value.

About the Authors

K. L. Polyakov
HSE University
Russian Federation

Konstantin L. Polyakov – Cand. Sci. (Tech.), Associate Professor, Department of Applied Economics, Faculty of Economic Sciences

11, Pokrovsky Boulevard, Room S505, Moscow, 109028



M. V. Polyakova
HSE University
Russian Federation

Marina V. Polyakova – Cand. Sci. (Tech.), Associate Professor, School of Finance, Faculty of Economic Sciences

11, Pokrovsky Boulevard, Room S634, Moscow, 109028



E. A. Zagonova
Public Joint-Stock Company Sberbank of Russia (PJSC Sberbank)
Russian Federation

Elizaveta A. Zagonova – Bachelor, Senior Specialist

19, Vavilova St., Moscow, 117997



References

1. Damodaran A. Investment Valuation. Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of any Asset. Third Edition. New York: Wiley; 2012. 992 p. (Russ.ed: Damodaran A. Investitsionnaya otsenka. Instrumenty i metody otsenki lyubykh aktivov. 2-e izd. Moscow: Al'pina Biznes Buk; 2005. 1323 p.)

2. Esipov V.E., Makhovikova G.A. Business Valuation. Third Edition. Saint Petersburg: Piter Publishing House; 2021. 512 p. (In Russ.)

3. Zhigalova V.N. Estimation of Business Value. Tomsk: El Content; 2013. 216 p. (In Russ.)

4. Palamarchuk V.P. Company Valuation to Inform Strategic Decisions. Second Edition. Moscow: Higher School of Finance and Management, RANEPA; 2009. 286 p. (In Russ.)

5. Rutgaizer V.M. Business Valuation. Moscow: Maroseyka Publ.; 2007. 448 p. (In Russ.)

6. Esipov A.V. Approaches and Methods of Assessing Market Value of Commercial Bank. Journal of Legal and Economic Studies. 2015;(3):93–96. (In Russ.)

7. Deev O. Methods of Bank Valuation. A Critical Overview. Financial Assets and Investing. 2011;2(3):33–44.

8. Bondarenko T.G., Isaeva E.A. Banking Corporate Valuation During Mergers and Acquisitions. Herald of Tver State University. Series: Economics and Management. 2016;(1):58–67.(In Russ.)

9. Zimin V.S., Trishin V.N. Forecasting and Analysis of the Accuracy of the Discounted Cash Flow Method. Retrospective Review of Previously Completed Valuation Reports. Property Relations in the Russian Federation. 2006;(7):27–35. (In Russ.)

10. Bondarenko M.D. Improving the Excess Return Method for the Purpose of Bank Valuation. Statistics and Economics. 2015;(2):25–28. (In Russ.)

11. Leister F. Valuation Methods for Banks: An Empirical Comparison of Intrinsic Valuation Methods for Banks. 2015.

12. Bolibok P. The Role of Accounting Variables in Valuation of Banks. Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu. 2017;(479):23–33.

13. Dietrich A., Wanzenried G. Determinants of Bank Profitability Before and During the Crisis: Evidence from Switzerland. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money. 2011;21(3):307–327.

14. Titko J., Kozlovskis K. Development of Bank Value Model. In: Proceedings of the 15th World Multi-Conference on Systemics, Cybernetics and Informatics (WMSCI 2011). 2011;1:143–148.

15. Titko J., Lace N. Valuation Models for Latvian Banks. In: Proceedings of the 7 th International Scientific Conference «Business and Management 2012».

16. Titko J., Lace N., Kozlovskis K. Service Quality in Banking: Developing and Testing Measurement Instrument with Latvian Sample Data. Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis. 2013;61(2):507–515.

17. Fishman Ja.E. et al. Guide to Business Valuation. Practitioners Pub Co.; 1998. (Russ. ed.: Fishmen D. i dr. Rukovodstvo po otsenke stoimosti biznesa. Moscow: «Kvinto-Konsalting» Publishing House; 2000. 370 p.)

18. Pereiro L.E. Valuation of Companies in Emerging Markets: a Practical Approach. New York: Wiley; 2002. 507 p.

19. Teplova T.V. Corporate Finance: Textbook for Bachelors. Moscow: Yurait Publishing House; 2014. 655 p. (In Russ.)

20. Mirkin B. Core Data Analysis: Summarization, Correlation, and Visualization. Cham: Springer International Publishing; 2019. 436 p.

21. Baltagi B.H. Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons; 2008. 4th Ed. 366 p.


Review

For citations:


Polyakov K.L., Polyakova M.V., Zagonova E.A. Some Aspects of Methodological Support of Bank Value Management in the Russian Market of Financial Services. Voprosy statistiki. 2022;29(4):84-96. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.34023/2313-6383-2022-29-4-84-96

Views: 294


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2313-6383 (Print)
ISSN 2658-5499 (Online)